The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast a possible revival of the southwest monsoon between June 12 and 18, after its progress stalled on May 29. A weather system is expected to form over the Bay of Bengal around June 12–13, though its development is still uncertain due to conflicting signals from various forecast models.
The extended-range forecast indicates a likely revival of the southwest monsoon between June 12 and 18, even if a weather system does not develop over the Bay of Bengal. After this revival, widespread rainfall is expected over central India, parts of Maharashtra, and areas of the southern peninsula where the monsoon has already arrived. According to a media report, the overall progress of the monsoon will mainly depend on how evenly the rainfall is distributed.
Hope returns for dry regions as the southwest monsoon is expected to revive between June 12 and 18, advancing into central and eastern India. Widespread rainfall, including some heavy showers, is likely over the southern peninsula and adjoining areas. This is due to stronger westerly winds and a possible off-shore trough along the west coast. The monsoon’s progress will depend on rainfall distribution and the strength of monsoon winds.
Skymet Weather forecasts the formation of a precursor cyclonic circulation over the west-central Bay of Bengal by June 10, which is expected to strengthen over the next 48 hours. This system is likely to bring weather activity to the eastern coast starting June 11 and may follow a slightly southern path through Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, and Maharashtra. Skymet also predicts the monsoon will revive between June 12 and 17, covering most of the southern peninsula.
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